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81.
82.
Seiya Uyeda Atsumi Kumamoto 《Proceedings of the Japan Academy. Series B, Physical and biological sciences》2004,80(3):140
Kushida and Kushida found that FM radio waves from stations at distances over-the-horizon are received before earthquakes. Based on this finding, since the mid-1990’s, the Kushidas have been practicing “Earthquake Precursor Detection Experiment”. The performance of the Kushida method during 2000–2003 has been evaluated by checking their predictions against the actual seismicity. During the period, there were 92 Kushida predictions mentioning the possibility of M ≥ 5.5 event, whereas there were 49 M ≥ 5.5 earthquakes in the Japanese region. If the criteria for successful prediction are set as: the errors in date is less than one day, epicentral position is roughly within specified area, and error in M is less than 0.5, the success rate was 20% and the alarm rate was 12%. If we relax the criteria to: the errors in dates within 10 days, epicenter within additional 100 km of specified area and the magnitude error less than 1.0, the success rate was 40% and the alarm rate was 27%. These rates may look insufficient for a practical prediction method. Considering, however, the fact that no other short-term prediction has ever been made in Japan so far it is a significant achievement. Moreover, it was found that in almost all failed predictions, meaningful signals were detected although the interpretations were incorrect. This indicates that the method is promising provided further investigation is carried out. The same evaluation at the M ≥ 6.0 level showed that the general performance was similar to the M ≥ 5.5 level, except that both success rate and alarm rate were lower at the M ≥ 6.0 level. If this unexpected finding is real, it might be inherent to the methodology using scattering of short-wave length radio waves as suggested by M. Hayakawa and may contain important information in understanding the earthquake physics and LAI-coupling. The results of the present study indicate strongly that the earthquake prediction research using anomalous transmission of VHF FM radio waves should be enhanced in parallel with complementary research in other frequency ranges. 相似文献
83.
Da-Zhi Li Li Gan Zi-Qiang Yang Zheng Liang Jia-Yin Li 《International Journal of Infrared and Millimeter Waves》1997,18(10):1885-1896
The dispersion characteristic of the plasma-loaded relativistic backward wave oscillator has been analyzed. The theoretical
model has been established and the numerical calculations accord with the experimental results, which provides some useful
suggestions on the designing of slow-wave structure of BWO. 相似文献
84.
林支桂 《数学物理学报(B辑英文版)》1998,(3)
1IntroductionInthispaper,weconsidertheinitial-boundaryvalueproblem,where"o(x)isnon-negativesmoothfunctionsatisfying"o.(0)=0,"o.(1)=1'Whenconsideringtheblow-upofsolution,thefollowingproblemarisenaturally:Doesblow-upoccur?Howdoesthesolutionapproachtheblow-uptime'!Andwilersisthehotspotlocated(blow-upset)?WelookattheheatequationwithanonlillearboundaryconditiollHerefiisaboundeddomaininR",p>1isarealnumber.IthasbeenknownforalongtimethattheDroblelil(1.1).(1.2)withAL(~,0)--'no(x)doesnothaveaglobals… 相似文献
85.
D. Sornette 《The European Physical Journal B - Condensed Matter and Complex Systems》1998,3(1):125-137
We propose a formulation of the term structure of interest rates in which the forward curve is seen as the deformation of
a string. We derive the general condition that the partial differential equations governing the motion of such string must
obey in order to account for the condition of absence of arbitrage opportunities. This condition takes a form similar to a
fluctuation-dissipation theorem, albeit on the same quantity (the forward rate), linking the bias to the covariance of variation
fluctuations. We provide the general structure of the models that obey this constraint in the framework of stochastic partial
(possibly non-linear) differential equations. We derive the general solution for the pricing and hedging of interest rate
derivatives within this framework, albeit for the linear case (we also provide in the appendix a simple and intuitive derivation
of the standard European option problem). We also show how the “string” formulation simplifies into a standard N-factor model under a Galerkin approximation.
Received: 30 January 1998 / Revised: 12 February 1998 / Accepted: 16 February 1998 相似文献
86.
一类时变需求且存货影响销售率的EOQ模型 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
从实际背景出发,在R AM P型需求和存货影响销售率条件下,讨论了一类以缺货开始的变质性物品的EOQ模型.给出了模型的求解方案及单位时间内平均利润最大化的两个充分条件,并用数值算例进行了验证. 相似文献
87.
The traditional use of LIBOR futures prices to obtain surrogates for the Eurodollar forward rates is proved to yield a systematic bias in the pricing of Eurodollar swaps when one assumes that the yield curve is well described by the Heath-Jarrow-Morton model. The resulting theoretical inequality is consistent with the empirical observations of Burghardt and Hoskins (1995), and it provide a theoretical basis for price anomalies that are suggested by more recent empirical data. 相似文献
88.
89.
概率神经网络和FTIR光谱用于食道癌的辅助分析 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
利用正常与相应癌化食道组织的主要FTIR特征峰aυs,CH3、sυ,CH2、σCH2、aυs,po4-、υc-o、sυ,po2-及sυ,磷酸化蛋白作为概率神经网络的输入向量,对网络的主要参数(网络径向基函数分布spread(0~5))、输入向量和网络表现(m ean accurate rate of recogn ition)之间的关系进行了研究。主要结论如下:i)无论输入向量是哪种特征频率的组合,其平均识别正确率都高于71.40%;ii)当输入向量为特征频率sυ,po2、sυ,磷酸化蛋白或υc-0、sυ,po2、sυ,磷酸化蛋白时,网络表现较佳,平均识别正确率较好。当spread介于1.4~2.3时,两者均达到网络具有的最高平均识别正确率(85.71%);iii)大多数情况下,网络的平均识别正确率与spread之间呈现二个高峰的特征,即spread介于0.1~0.3和1.5~5.0之间时,网络均具有较高的平均识别正确率。研究表明,以傅里叶变换红外光谱的主要特征峰为概率神经网络的输入向量,用于食道组织样品的癌化识别分析是完全可能的,其平均识别正确率可达85.71%。 相似文献
90.
Christian Maes 《Journal of statistical physics》1990,61(3-4):667-681
An anisotropic lattice gas dynamics is investigated for which particles on
d
jump to empty nearest neighbor sites with (fast) rate –2 in a specified direction and some particular configuration-dependent rates in the other directions. The model is translation and reflection invariant and is particle conserving. The space coordinate in the fast-rate direction is rescaled by –1. It follows that the density field converges in probability, as 0, to the corresponding solution of a nonlinear diffusion-type equation. The microscopic fluctuations about the deterministic macroscopic evolution are determined explicitly and it is found that the stationary fluctuations decay via a power law (1/r
d
) with the direction dependence of a quadrupole field. 相似文献